Description

This analysis provides a forecast of DOT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-29 0.001185 0.001245 0.001306 0.001374 0.001446 0.001521 0.001605
2025-07-06 0.001075 0.001161 0.001251 0.001354 0.001469 0.001593 0.001737
2025-07-13 0.000985 0.001085 0.001193 0.001321 0.001467 0.001630 0.001827
2025-07-20 0.000936 0.001048 0.001174 0.001324 0.001501 0.001705 0.001958
2025-07-27 0.000899 0.001022 0.001161 0.001332 0.001539 0.001782 0.002092
2025-08-03 0.000872 0.001004 0.001156 0.001347 0.001583 0.001866 0.002238
2025-08-10 0.000840 0.000978 0.001139 0.001345 0.001604 0.001922 0.002349
2025-08-17 0.000797 0.000937 0.001102 0.001316 0.001589 0.001930 0.002398
2025-08-24 0.000764 0.000906 0.001076 0.001299 0.001586 0.001953 0.002465
2025-08-31 0.000743 0.000888 0.001065 0.001299 0.001606 0.002004 0.002572
2025-09-07 0.000717 0.000863 0.001043 0.001284 0.001605 0.002027 0.002640
2025-09-14 0.000694 0.000842 0.001025 0.001274 0.001609 0.002055 0.002715
2025-09-21 0.000670 0.000819 0.001006 0.001262 0.001612 0.002087 0.002802
2025-09-28 0.000646 0.000796 0.000985 0.001247 0.001612 0.002113 0.002884
2025-10-05 0.000618 0.000766 0.000954 0.001219 0.001590 0.002108 0.002918
2025-10-12 0.000604 0.000754 0.000948 0.001222 0.001613 0.002168 0.003053
2025-10-19 0.000593 0.000746 0.000944 0.001230 0.001642 0.002237 0.003205
2025-10-26 0.000585 0.000740 0.000945 0.001243 0.001680 0.002320 0.003386
2025-11-02 0.000572 0.000728 0.000936 0.001242 0.001694 0.002370 0.003514
2025-11-09 0.000551 0.000705 0.000911 0.001215 0.001671 0.002359 0.003542
2025-11-16 0.000534 0.000687 0.000893 0.001199 0.001663 0.002371 0.003608
2025-11-23 0.000524 0.000678 0.000886 0.001200 0.001680 0.002422 0.003744
2025-11-30 0.000510 0.000662 0.000871 0.001187 0.001674 0.002438 0.003818